Week 10 Primer
Published on Saturday, 11/5/16, at 12:21 p.m. Eastern.
–Kentucky has limped to an atrocious 2-9-2 spread record in 13 games as a home underdog during Mark Stoops’s tenure. The Wildcats are 2.5-point home puppies to Georgia tonight.
–Will Muschamp improved to 5-0 in his career as a head coach against Tennessee with last week’s 24-21 win over the Volunteers. The Gamecocks improved to 4-4 overall and can get bowl eligible if they can win home games against Missouri and Western Carolina. South Carolina is a seven-point home ‘chalk’ vs. Mizzou this weekend.
–Muschamp has finally found himself a quarterback. His name is Jake Bentley and he’s supposed to be a senior high school. But instead of playing last Friday night, he threw a pair of TD passes without an interception in front of a packed house at Williams-Brice Stadium in Columbia. Nearly 100 percent of the national media has spent most of the last six years being critical of Muschamp. Meanwhile, I maintained that he wasn’t just a quality coach, but he’s an outstanding coach and one of the best defensive minds in all of football. Now that he has a QB, Muschamp’s critics are probably going to be eating a lot of crow the next 3-4 years.
–Vanderbilt owns a 6-1 spread record in seven games as an underdog of 20 points or more during Derek Mason’s tenure. The Commodores, who are 4-4 and off an open date, were 26-point ‘dogs at Auburn for most of the week. However, the line shifted to 23 in the 5-10 minutes before the noon kick because Sean White is dealing with a shoulder injury. John Franklin got the starting nod. We should note that Vandy has only given up more than 24 points in a game twice all year, and one of those was when Western Ky. needed overtime to get to 30.
–I see a little bit of Christian ‘The Nigerian Nightmare’ Okoye in Auburn RB Kamryn Pettway.
–Might we get a Jeremy Johnson sighting on the field on the Plains today?
–The ‘over’ has hit in seven straight games for Pitt. The Panthers are at Miami with a total that was 57.5 points all week but moved to 59 shortly before the 12:30 Eastern kick.
–Michigan St. will try to snap a six-game losing streak at Illinois. The Spartans had never lost four in a row under Mark Dantonio before this slide. Dantonio took over in East Lansing in 2007.
–When Ohio captured a 31-26 win at Toledo last week as a 15-point road underdog, it ended a 15-game losing streak at The Glass Bowl that dated back to 1967. The Bobcats followed up that victory with a spread-covering win over Buffalo on Thursday night. They have now seen the ‘under’ go 8-0-1 in their last nine games.
–After three seasons with double-digit win totals and 33 total victories, Marshall fell to 2-6 with last week’s 24-14 loss at So. Miss. The Thundering Herd has lost three games as a double-digit ‘chalk.’
–With its spread cover in last week’s 24-20 loss at Ohio St. as a 25-point underdog, Northwestern improved to 25-15 ATS as a road underdog during Pat Fitzgerald’s tenure. The Wildcats are seven-point home ‘dogs to Wisconsin.
–FIU quarterback Alex McGough is ‘out’ at Western Ky. McGough has thrown for 1,891 yards with a 13/11 TD-INT ratio.
–Colorado failed to cover the number for the first time all season in Thursday’s 20-10 non-covering victory over UCLA as a 13-point home ‘chalk.’ It was just the second time the Bruins had been double-digit underdogs since Jim Mora Jr. too over in 2012.
–Like a sissy, junior RB Jalen Hurd quit on his team, his teammates, the University of Tennessee, the Volunteer fan base and Butch Jones with four games left in the regular season. That’s garbage. Hurd reportedly wants to transfer and move to tight end. Ok, then.
–Cal is unbeaten in three home games this year with wins over Texas, Utah and Oregon. The Golden Bears have been 17-point home underdogs to Washington for most of the week, but the line has moved up to 19. The total has dropped from 77ish down to 74.5. They collide in Berkeley in one of the late games tonight.
–After a horrible slump, I finally found the heat button last week. I went 4-0 on Saturday and I’m on a 6-1 run in college football. Here are my
plays winners for Saturday.