UFC 200 odds: Diaz now favored vs. McGregor

'Super' Sage Northcutt is 2-1 in the UFC to date. He'll face Enrique Martin as a heavy favorite at UFC 200 in Las Vegas.

‘Super’ Sage Northcutt is 2-1 in the UFC to date. He’ll face Enrique Martin as a heavy favorite at UFC 200 in Las Vegas.

Published on Sunday, 4/3/16, at 3:01 p.m. Eastern.

UFC 200
T-Mobile Arena
Las Vegas, Nevada
July 9

Odds are from 5Dimes:

Nate Diaz -125 vs. Conor McGregor (-105) – welterweight main event.
Jose Aldo -125 vs. Frankie Edgar (-105) – interim featherweight championship.
Johny Hendricks -180 vs. Kelvin Gastelum (+140) – welterweight
Diego Sanchez -120 vs. Joe Lauzon (-120) – lightweight
Sage Northcutt -300 vs. Enrique Martin (+220) – lightweight
Cain Velasquez -325 vs. Travis Browne (+250) – heavyweight
Gegard Mousasi -205 vs. Derek Brunson (+165) – middleweight
Jim Miller -245 vs. Takanori Gomi (+175) – lightweight

I like Brunson and Edgar for sure. I would be tempted to make a small play on Browne if odds are +250 or better. Sportsbook.ag has Gastelum at +180 and if he’s that generous or better, I’d lean his way for a small nibble.

Edgar-Aldo is not even the co-main event. We could get Robbie Lawler on this card defending his belt. If so, I would think it would be in a rematch against Carlos Condit. I think GSP is coming back, but I don’t think it will be until the Madison Square Garden show in NYC in November. And I’m not sure GSP even wants a title shot – at least not in his first fight.

If the Tony Ferguson-Khabib Nurmagomedov winner of their April 16 showdown in Tampa gets out of the fight relatively unscathed, he could get a shot at Rafael dos Anjos’s lightweight strap on this 200 card.

I think there’s a chance we could get featherweight prospect Brian Ortega on this card as well. With eight fights official, I think we’ll get at least four more, possibly five. Can’t wait!

Also, if you missed it yesterday while watching the Final Four, Ovince St. Pruex will replace Daniel Cormier and take on Jon Jones for the interim light-heavyweight strap in the UFC 197 headliner in Las Vegas on April 23. Cormier suffered a leg injury and is reportedly out for 4-6 weeks. With that timeline, I guess there’s a chance that Jones-Cormier II ¬†could be added to the 200 card, assuming Jones takes care of business against OSP. Jones is a -800 ‘chalk,’ leaving the former University of Tennessee football player as a +500 underdog. I think Jones-Cormier II is more likely to be the main event at the show at MSG in NYC, however.

Share this post: